Rolando Manuel Gonzales Martinez
Postdoctoral research associate
- Postdoctorate researcher in the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Science and Arts/University of Groningen (the Netherlands).
- Postdoctorate in Data Science (Helmholtz-Zentrum Dresden-Rossendorf, HZDR - Germany)
- Ph.D. in International Business (University of Agder - Norway)
- M.Sc. in Applied Statistics (University of Alcala - Spain)
- Evaluation of Social Programs (Massachusetts Institute of Technology - MIT).
- Bayesian Modeling, Inference and Prediction (University of Reading, UK).
- Macro-prudential Policies (International Monetary Fund - IMF)
Experience in coding with MatLab, R, Stata, SQL, Python, LaTeX
Research interests
- Bayesian methods
- Socio-economic development
- Applied statistics/econometrics
- Machine learning & biologically-inspired artificial intelligence
Work experience
- Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (OPHI) - Oxford University
- United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)
- Government consultant in finance and development economics
- Deputy manager, risk division - BCP bank (CREDICORP)
Projects
Selected publications
- Gonzales Martínez, R. (2017). Balancing Input-Output tables with Bayesian slave-raiding ants. Statistical Journal of the IAOS, 33(4), 943-949.
- Gonzales Martinez, R (2017). A Bayesian Spatial Propensity Score Matching Evaluation of the Regional Impact of Micro-finance. Review of Economic Analysis, Vol. 9 (2), pp. 127-153
- Gonzales M, R. (2016). Balancing Social Accounting Matrices with Artificial Polymorphus Ants. Computational Economics, 47(2), 179-191.
- Gonzales M., R. (2015). Nicaragua: inflación de umbral, crecimiento económico y la nueva política monetaria después de la crisis internacional. Ensayos sobre Política Económica, 33(76), 31-43.
- Gonzales Martínez, R. (2015). Una aproximación bayesiana a la medición de la vulnerabilidad poblacional a desastres naturales: estudio de caso para el Estado Plurinacional de Bolivia. Notas de Población Vol. 42 N° 100. United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean
Scientific publications
- Gonzales Martinez, Rolando (2024). Apocalypse unleashed: a critical perspective on complexity science, catastrophes, and black swan events in international business. Critical Perspectives on International Business. ISSN: 1742-2043. 20 (1). s 94 - 120. doi:10.1108/cpoib-03-2022-0014.
- Gonzales Martinez, Rolando; D’espallier, Bert; Mersland, Roy (2024). Informal Insurance and Loans in Savings Groups: A Longitudinal and Quasi-experimental Approach Identifies the Role of the Welfare Fund for the Extreme Poor. Review of Development Finance. ISSN: 1879-9337. 14 (1). s 1 - 10.
- Gonzales Martinez, Rolando (2022). How good is good? Bayesian machine-learning estimation of probabilistic benchmarks in noisy datasets and an application to nanofinance+. Systems and Soft Computing (SASC). ISSN: 2772-9419. 4doi:10.1016/j.sasc.2022.200036.
- Gonzales Martinez, Rolando; D'Espallier, Bert; Mersland, Roy (2022). What Drives Profits in Savings Groups? Bayesian Data Mining Evidence from the SAVIX Database. Review of Development Finance. ISSN: 1879-9337. 11 (2). s 39 - 57.
- Anand, Paul; Allen, Heidi L; Ferrer, Robert L; Gold, Natalie; Gonzales Martinez, Rolando; Kontopantelis, Evangelos; Krause, Melanie; Vergunst, Francis (2021). Work-related and personal predictors of COVID-19 transmission: Evidence from the UK and USA. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. ISSN: 0143-005X. 76 (2). s 152 - 157. doi:10.1136/jech-2020-215208.
- Ravelli, Edsard; Gonzales Martinez, Rolando (2021). Environmental risk factors of airborne viral transmission: Humidity, Influenza and SARS-CoV-2 in the Netherlands. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology. ISSN: 1877-5845. doi:10.1016/j.sste.2021.100432.
- Samonte, Francis Gregory R.; De Guzman, Ma. Teresa; Gonzales Martinez, Rolando (2020). A population level analysis of mental health and non-communicable disease (NCD) in the Philippines using predictive modelling analysis. International Journal of Psychosocial Rehabilitation. ISSN: 1475-7192. 24 (6). s 12149 - 12158. doi:10.37200/IJPR/V24I6/PR261196.
- Gonzales Martinez, Rolando; D'Espallier, Bert; Mersland, Roy (2020). Bifurcations in business profitability: An agent-based simulation of homophily in self-financing groups. Journal of Business Research. ISSN: 0148-2963. doi:10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.06.051.
- Anand, Paul; Saxena, Swati; Gonzales Martinez, Rolando; Dang, Hai-Anh H. (2020). Can Women’s Self-help Groups Contribute to Sustainable Development? Evidence of Capability Changes from Northern India. Journal of Human Development and Capabilities. ISSN: 1945-2829. 21 (2). s 137 - 160. doi:10.1080/19452829.2020.1742100.
- Gonzales Martinez, Rolando; Rojas-Hosse, Andrea (2019). Inflation shocks and income inequality: An analysis with genetic algorithms and Bayesian quantile regressions. African Journal of Economic and Management Studies. ISSN: 2040-0705. 10 (2). s 226 - 240. doi:10.1108/AJEMS-10-2018-0299.
- Gonzales Martinez, Rolando; Aguilera-Lizarazu, Gabriela; Rojas-Hosse, Andrea; Aranda Blanco, Patricia (2019). The interaction effect of gender and ethnicity in loan approval: A Bayesian estimation with data from a laboratory field experiment. Review of Development Economics. ISSN: 1363-6669. doi:10.1111/rode.12607.
- Gonzales Martinez, Rolando (2019). Which social program supports sustainable grass-root finance? Machine-learning evidence. International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology. ISSN: 1350-4509. s 1 - 7. doi:10.1080/13504509.2019.1706059.
- Gonzales Martinez, Rolando (2018). The Wage Curve, Once More with Feeling: Bayesian Model Averaging of Heckit Models. Econometric Research in Finance. ISSN: 2451-1935. 3 (2). s 79 - 92. doi:10.33119/ERFIN.2018.3.2.1.
In social media
Last changed: 12.01.2023 13:01